Probability for Actuaries

Actuaries and quantitative professionals deal primarily in probabilities. This course will cover a wide range of topics and introduce you to core probability concepts needed for actuarial and quantitative work. You will be able to apply concepts of probability to real-world scenarios. This course will also fully cover nearly all content required by the Society of Actuaries Probability (P) Exam and its equivalents.

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Syllabus

Course Topics

  • Introduction to Statistics & Probability
  • Numerical & Graphical Measurements of Data
  • Probability and Inference
  • Set Theory
  • The Kolmogorov Axioms and Counting methods
  • Computing Probabilities of Events
  • Conditional Probability
  • Event Independence
  • Law of Total Probability
  • Bayes’ Rule
  • Discrete Random Variables (DRV)
  • Discrete Probability Distribution Functions (PDFs)
  • Expected Value & Variance
  • Commonly Used PDFs
  • Uniform
  • Binomial
  • Geometric
  • Negative Binomial
  • Hypergeometric
  • Poisson
  • Moments of DRVs
  • Continuous Random Variables (CRV)
  • Continuous PDFs
  • Expected Value and Variance
  • Commonly Used Continuous PDFs
  • Uniform
  • Normal
  • Gamma
  • Beta
  • Moments of CRVs
  • Discontinuous & Mixed PDFs
  • Multivariate Probability Distributions
  • Bivariate and Multivariate PDFs
  • Marginal & Conditional PDFs
  • Independent RVs
  • Functions of RVs
  • Covariance
  • Multinomial PDFs
  • Conditional Expectations
  • Functions of Random Variables
  • Order Statistics
  • Sampling Distributions & the Central Limit theorem (CLT)
  • Sampling Distributions related to the Normal Distribution
  • The Central Limit Theorem
  • Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution
Course Level

300

Skills Covered

  • Statistics
  • Data Analysis
  • Actuarial Modeling
  • Problem Solving
  • Critical Thinking

Common Prerequisites

All courses listed may not be required. Discuss with your advisor to learn more.

  • Calculus I
  • Calculus II
  • Calculus III

Disclosure

This course is delivered online through an institution of the Lower Cost Models Consortium (LCMC) that is different than your degree-granting institution that awards the academic credit for the course.